Making sense of the polls
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This week’s Newspoll had Turnbull’s satisfied rating down 8 points to 52%, and his dissatisfied rating up 8 points to 30%, for a net approval of +22, down 16 net points since last fortnight. However, Shorten’s…
At the North Sydney by-election held yesterday, the Liberals won 47.5% of the vote (down 13.5% on the 2013 election), Independent Stephen Ruff won 18.8%, and the Greens won 16.1% (up 0.8%). The remaining…
This week’s Newspoll had the Coalition ahead by 53-47, unchanged from last fortnight. This was despite Turnbull’s already stellar approval ratings increasing again; his satisfied rating was up 4% to 60…
This week’s Ipsos gave the Coalition a crushing 56-44 lead using previous election preferences, a 3% gain for the Coalition since the last Ipsos in mid-October. However, the other two polls released this…
Last week there was much speculation that the government will propose raising the GST to 15% from its current 10% at the next election. So far this talk has failed to either dent Turnbull’s ratings or…
All polls in the last two weeks are now at 52 or 53% Two Party Preferred (2PP) to the Coalition, with the exception of Morgan (55% 2PP). These results are by last election preferences, and current respondent…
After last week’s Newspoll and Essential were reasonable for Labor, this week’s Morgan and Ipsos polls both gave the Coalition a big lead, while Essential stayed at 51-49 to the Coalition. Ipsos gave Turnbull…
At today’s Canadian election, the centre left Liberals have won 184 of the 338 Canadian seats, 14 more than required for a one party majority. The Conservatives won 99 seats, the pro-labour New Democratic…
The Canadian election will be held tomorrow, with polls closing on Tuesday morning and afternoon Melbourne time. The current Canadian Broadcasting Corp (CBC) poll tracker has the centre left Liberals leading…
It is now one month since Turnbull deposed Abbott as PM. Initial polls showed a big bounce for the Coalition as they regained the poll lead for the first time since late 2013. However, this week’s Essential…