Making sense of the polls
Displaying 141 - 150 of 230 articles
The United Kingdom election will be held in 11 days on the 7 May. You can read my preview from two weeks ago here. Since that preview was written, little has changed with the overall polling picture. The…
The Animal Justice Party (AJP) has won the final New South Wales upper house seat, defeating No Land Tax (NLT) and the Coalition. The final count had the Coalition winning 9.375 quotas, Labor 6.84, Greens…
On Monday we had two polls from Ipsos and Newspoll that gave contradictory results. Previously Ipsos has been a Coalition-leaning pollster, so Labor’s 54-46 lead in this poll was a big surprise. However…
The United Kingdom election will be held on the 7 May. There are a total of 650 House of Commons seats, with members for each seat elected by the simple first past the post (FPTP) system, in which the…
The New South Wales election will be held today. Polls close at 6pm local time. All final polls give the Coalition at least a 10-point primary vote lead. The Coalition’s primary vote estimate in the major…
This week we have had three polls from Newspoll, Morgan and Essential with different results. Newspoll gave Labor only a 51-49 lead, a 4% move to the Coalition. Morgan’s headline figure was 56-44 to Labor…
The New South Wales election will be held next Saturday 28 March. The lower house has 93 single-member seats. At the March 2011 election, the Coalition won 69 of these 93 seats, to 20 for Labor, 1 Green…
The New South Wales election will be held in ten days on the 28 March. A new NSW Morgan SMS poll has the Coalition ahead of Labor on primary votes by a crushing 13 points. The full primary votes are 46.5…
This week’s Newspoll had Labor gaining 2% from last fortnight to lead by 55-45 after preferences. However, the normally Labor-favouring Morgan poll had Labor down 1.5% on last fortnight to a 53.5-46.5…
A New South Wales ReachTEL poll taken last Thursday night, from a sample of 1730, has the Coalition leading by 53-47 on respondent allocated preferences. Primary votes, with changes from last week, are…