Making sense of the polls
Displaying 181 - 190 of 230 articles
Every four years a Presidential election is held in the United States. Barack Obama was re-elected in 2012, and the next Presidential election will be held in November 2016. However, the US also holds…
On Tuesday, Newspoll put Labor ahead by a 53-47 margin over the Coalition, a 2% swing to Labor from the previous Newspoll four weeks ago. Rounding in both these two Newspolls has been generous to Labor…
Last week we had state polling from Essential, Newspoll and Morgan for all states, with Morgan surprising by releasing SMS poll results for all states conducted from 26-29 September. In Victoria, Labor…
Last Thursday 18 September there was widespread media coverage of an alleged terrorist plot to behead Australian residents in Sydney. As a result, the Coalition has regained the ground lost last fortnight…
With all election night votes counted in yesterday’s New Zealand election, the centre right Nationals have won 48.1% of the vote, up 0.8% on the 2011 election. That meant they almost doubled Labour’s vote…
With all 32 councils reporting, Scotland has rejected independence by a decisive 55.3% to 44.7% margin. Only four of the 32 councils voted YES to independence. Although YES won two of the four most populous…
There have been seven Scottish referendum polls released in the last two days. All have NO leading by between 51-49 and 53-47, with five polls showing NO leads of 52-48. When we have many polls clustered…
In the next week there will be a referendum in Scotland to decide whether Scotland should become an independent country; polls currently show a very close race, with NO to independence slightly ahead…
Last fortnight two polls had the Coalition behind by only 51-49, the closest since prior to the May budget. This week Newspoll has Labor gaining ground. While Morgan had the Coalition gaining, his last…
Two of this week’s polls only have Labor leading by 51-49, the closest Labor lead any poll other than Essential has shown since before the budget speculation began in early May. Here is the usual poll…