Making sense of the polls
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Today’s Ipsos poll has Labor leading by only 51-49, a 3% gain for the Coalition since the last Ipsos in late January. Primary votes are 42% for the Coalition (up 4), 36% for Labor (down 4) and 12% for…
The New South Wales election will be held in four weeks on the 28 March. The last three NSW polls from Galaxy, Morgan and Newspoll show almost identical primary votes, though they disagree on their Two…
The New South Wales election will be held in just over four weeks on the 28 March. A Galaxy poll has the Coalition leading by 53-47, a 1% gain for Labor since a late January Galaxy. Primary votes are 43…
The New South Wales election will be held in five weeks on the 28 March. A Morgan SMS poll gives the Coalition a 55.5-44.5 lead, a 1.5% gain for the Coalition since mid-January. Primary votes are 45% for…
At the March 2012 election, the Liberal National Party (LNP) won a crushing 78 of the 89 parliamentary seats to just seven for Labor. Two by-election wins during the last term increased Labor’s representation…
We have had five polls released since last Friday night, and Labor leads by at least 55-45 in all of them except Essential, which has a well earned reputation for being slow to change. The previous Newspoll…
At the Queensland election held on the 31 January, Labor won 44 of the 89 parliamentary seats, and Independent Peter Wellington will support Labor. With Wellington’s support, Labor will have 45 of 89 seats…
There is increasing speculation that Tony Abbott could be ousted by the Liberal Party in favour of Malcolm Turnbull when Parliament resumes tomorrow. A ReachTEL poll conducted on Thursday night, from a…
We have had two major opinion polls this week from Galaxy and Ipsos. Both polls have Labor gaining two points, to now lead by a huge 57-43 in Galaxy and 54-46 in Ipsos. Both polls were previously taken…
The Queensland election will be held today. Polls close at 6pm local time (7pm in the south eastern states). We have had final polls from ReachTEL, Galaxy and Newspoll, which all have the Liberal National…