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Making sense of the polls

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Federal Ipsos has Labor lead down to two points

Today’s Ipsos poll has Labor leading by only 51-49, a 3% gain for the Coalition since the last Ipsos in late January. Primary votes are 42% for the Coalition (up 4), 36% for Labor (down 4) and 12% for…

Morgan’s NSW Poll has Big Lead for Coalition

The New South Wales election will be held in five weeks on the 28 March. A Morgan SMS poll gives the Coalition a 55.5-44.5 lead, a 1.5% gain for the Coalition since mid-January. Primary votes are 45% for…
Queensland Governor Paul de Jersey congratulates Labor leader Annastacia Palaszczuk after her swearing in as Queensland premier. AAP/Dan Peled

Final Queensland election results: Labor’s stunning revival

At the March 2012 election, the Liberal National Party (LNP) won a crushing 78 of the 89 parliamentary seats to just seven for Labor. Two by-election wins during the last term increased Labor’s representation…

Labor Seizes Double Digit Poll Lead

We have had five polls released since last Friday night, and Labor leads by at least 55-45 in all of them except Essential, which has a well earned reputation for being slow to change. The previous Newspoll…

Analysing Past Midterm PM Changes

There is increasing speculation that Tony Abbott could be ousted by the Liberal Party in favour of Malcolm Turnbull when Parliament resumes tomorrow. A ReachTEL poll conducted on Thursday night, from a…

Final Queensland Polls have LNP Narrowly Ahead

The Queensland election will be held today. Polls close at 6pm local time (7pm in the south eastern states). We have had final polls from ReachTEL, Galaxy and Newspoll, which all have the Liberal National…