Making sense of the polls
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The highlights of the last two weeks have been the Labor national conference, and more revelations of Bronwyn Bishop’s expenditures, culminating in her resignation as Federal Speaker last Sunday. All polls…
The last two weeks have featured Bill Shorten’s appearance at the Trade Union Royal Commission (TURC), the government instructing the Clean Energy Finance Corporation (CEFC) not to invest in wind power…
This week we had three polls from Ipsos, Newspoll and Essential. Newspoll is not the old Newspoll, which was conducted by landline telephone interviews. The new Newspoll is conducted by a mixture of robopolling…
The last fortnight has featured The Killing Season and Q&A on the ABC, allegations against Shorten from his union boss days, and a national security focus from the government. Media expectations were…
There have been four polls released this week. The Ipsos and Morgan polls both showed a substantial increase in the Labor vote share, but Newspoll and Essential have not supported this trend to Labor…
The three polls released this week all have Labor leading by 52-48, in line with the post budget polling. Here is the usual poll table. Morgan’s poll leans to Labor, but this lean has reduced in recent…
On voting intention, the 2015 budget has had a mild impact, but is a continuation of a slow trend to the Coalition. The table below gives the two party results for all six polls conducted since the budget…
In a huge shock, the Tories have won an outright majority of the UK House of Commons seats. With all 650 seats officially declared, the Tories have won 331 seats, a gain of 22 on the 2010 results. Labour…
This week’s Newspoll had Abbott’s satisfied rating up 4% to 37% and his dissatisfied rating down 3% to 56%, for a net approval of -19. It is the fifth consecutive Newspoll to show an improvement in Abbott’s…
The United Kingdom election will be held in five days on Thursday. The current UK Polling Report (UKPR) poll average has the Tories on 34%, Labour on 33%, the Liberal Democrats (Lib Dems) on 9%, the UK…