Making sense of the polls
Displaying 71 - 80 of 230 articles
This week’s Newspoll, conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1620, gives Labor an unchanged 52-48 lead. Primary votes are 39% for the Coalition (up 1), 36% for Labor (down 1) and 10% for the Greens…
This week’s Newspoll, conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1660, gave Labor a 52-48 lead, a 2 point gain for Labor, and their biggest lead since Turnbull deposed Abbott. Primary votes were 38…
The next Western Australian election will be held in six months, on 11 March 2017. A ReachTEL poll, conducted on Thursday night from a sample of 1720, gives the Liberals real hope of coming back from what…
This week’s Newspoll, conducted 8-11 September from a sample of 1680, had an unchanged 50-50 result after preferences from unchanged primary votes of 41% Coalition, 36% Labor and 9% Greens. Turnbull’s…
A Victorian ReachTEL poll, conducted Thursday night from a sample of 1650, gives Labor a 51-49 two party lead, a one point gain for the Coalition since the November 2014 election. Primary votes appear…
In the first Newspoll since the July Federal election, Turnbull has a satisfied rating of 34% (down 6 since the pre-election Newspoll) and a dissatified rating of 52% (up 5), for a net approval of -18…
At the 2012 Northern Territory election, the Country Liberal Party (CLP) won 16 of 25 seats, to 8 for Labor and 1 Independent. During a chaotic term, 4 CLP and 1 Labor members defected to sit as Independents…
I have not written about the US Presidential election since late June, owing to coverage of the Australian Federal election. The US election will be held on 8 November. In July, following the FBI’s damaging…
At the election held on 2 July, the Coalition won a bare majority of 76 of the 150 House seats, to 69 for Labor and five crossbenchers, representing a net loss of 14 seats for the Coalition and a net 14…
Last Sunday, I discussed the implications for long and short terms using both the order-of-election method, and the recount method. The major parties have now agreed to use the order-of-election method…