The Tories have 346 seats and could lose more than half of those. Labour is aiming for huge gains, the SNP is fighting for relevance – and the Lib Dems are hoping to become the third party again.
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With the UK heading for an election on July 4, it can feel like the result is pre-ordained. Labour has maintained a decisive poll lead for over a year and nothing Rishi Sunak does appears to shift the…
The prime minister is being optimistic at best with his reading – but these results to suggest Labour’s win might not be as decisive as polls currently suggest.
Even though Keir Starmer is more comfortable being associated with the leaders of the last Labour government than Jeremy Corbyn or Ed Miliband, this is not a return to the past.
First past the post tends to deliver the winning party more seats in parliament than they’d get under a truly proportional voting system – but this year is off the charts.