The polls and pundits say Joe Biden will win, but they’ve been wrong before. So what will be the early indicators of whether Donald Trump stays or goes?
Number three: Donald Trump at the swearing in of Amy Coney Barrett to the US Supreme Court. She is the third justice he has appointed to the court.
Ken Cedeno/EPA
Republicans won the recent battle over nominations to the US Supreme Court with the appointment of Amy Coney Barrett. The loser might be the court itself.
Boxes of illegal and legal vote-by-mail ballots at the Miami-Dade County Elections Department ahead of Florida’s Aug. 18 primary election.
AP Photo/Lynne Sladky
In Florida and North Carolina, mail ballots cast by minority voters and Democrats are disproportionately likely to face rejection.
Former House Speaker John Boehner holds a press conference June 25, 2012, after the Supreme Court handed down a 5-4 decision upholding the Affordable Care Act.
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Democrats are outraged at what they say is the hypocrisy of allowing a president to appoint a new Supreme Court justice near the end of his term. One of their biggest practical concerns is the ACA.
Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell with reporters, July 30, 2020.
Drew Angerer/Getty Images)
The Voting Rights Act was intended to prevent voter suppression in states with histories of discrimination. But states are finding other ways to make it difficult for people of colour to vote.
Conservative suit? Check. Rep tie? Check. Mitch McConnell looks every inch a senator.
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President Trump is using religious rhetoric against his Democratic opponents. A historian of religion cites similar attacks over a century ago.
International observers from Canada, India and Jamaica tour the Utah County election facilities on Nov. 6, 2018 in Provo, Utah.
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Many US states forbid foreign observers to monitor their elections, but as the 2020 presidential election nears, a poll finds broad public support for international election observers.
President Trump stressed law and order on a recent trip to Kenosha, Wisconsin.
Mandel Ngan/AFP via Getty Images)
President Trump’s law-and-order campaign rhetoric has been compared to Richard Nixon’s and George Wallace’s similar themes in 1968. But such appeals go much further back, to the US in the early 1800s.
Democratic vice presidential candidate Sen. Kamala Harris.
AP Photo/Carolyn Kaster
Indian Americans constitute a mere 1.5% of the population, but their impact on American politics can be disproportionate, a political scientist argues.
Mary Ann Mendoza was pulled as a speaker at the RNC after tweeting a link to an anti-Semitic thread.
AP Photo/Evan Vucci
A would-be speaker at the Republican National Convention was yanked for encouraging people to read up on a hoax that has long been discredited but refuses to die.
Protesters against passage of a bill to expand mail-in voting during a Nevada Republican Party demonstration, August 4, 2020, in Las Vegas.
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In lawsuits across the country, the GOP and Trump campaign are trying to stop or dramatically curtail mail-in voting. Courts have largely sided with them, threatening massive disenfranchisement.
Despite partisan affiliation, American voters tend to share views on common facts about the world. But recent research suggests that when it comes to COVID-19, voters live in alternative realities.
Democrats filed suit against Republicans in 1981 for allegedly sending armed patrols to polling stations during the New Jersey gubernatorial race.
Megan Jelinger/AFP via Getty Images
Republicans are free again to recruit poll watchers – four decades after ‘ballot security’ operations helped steer New Jersey’s 1981 gubernatorial race toward their candidate.
Most states struggle to meet pension funding needs – and the pandemic will make it worse.
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Many of the public employee pension plans run by states don’t have enough money in them to make upcoming pension payments to retired state workers. The pandemic could make that problem much worse.
Gerald Dent, left, is joined by James Featherstone and Niles Ringgold at a rally for felon voting rights, in Baltimore, Maryland, on March 10, 2020.
Michael S. Williamson/The Washington Post via Getty Images
Recent efforts to restore voting rights to the formerly incarcerated, a crucial Democratic constituency, could have important implications for the 2020 presidential election.
Political polarisation remains clear in responses to COVID-19.
Oliver Contreras/EPA
Some members of Congress want to grant businesses total immunity from coronavirus-related civil liability. A legal scholar explains why it’s unnecessary – and may be counterproductive.
Professor in U.S. Politics and U.S. Foreign Relations at the United States Studies Centre and in the Discipline of Government and International Relations, University of Sydney