It’s likely that the terrorist group will be defeated one day. But there are no signs that the political elite is capable of changing.
Al-Shabaab remains a strong regional actor and has proved itself to be a resilient force. It’s time to weigh a non-war strategic option
Al-Shabaab’s evolution over nearly two decades has been centred around three major goals.
The core obstacle to stability in Somalia is the lack of agreement among political, religious, and business elites on how to govern their country.
A transition is underway in Somalia. There are massive risks if it is not handled with great care.
The political and security order which numerous foreign actors have been investing in has produced marginal benefits for the population.
Women’s motivations for joining terrorist networks belie Kenyan media accounts of naive girls manipulated through romantic notions of Jihadi brides or wives.
In spite of a massive military effort the war against al-Shabaab has been effectively stalemated since 2016.
The death of Al-Shabaab’s leader triggered deadlier suicide bombings as the group desperately tried to demonstrate its resilience.
AMISOM’s experiences suggest that urban peace operations must be given sufficient resources from the outset
New evidence has made possible a more accurate estimate of how many African personnel have died since the Somalia mission deployed in March 2007.
The British prime minister’s visit to Africa comes amid increased interest by China and France.
Conflict patterns in Africa have changed rapidly in recent years posing a challenge to peace and security.
Kenya cited national security when it crossed into Somali territory in pursuit of Al-Shabaab militants. But there were numerous other potential aims at play.
Official reasons for joining the Somalia mission were that the conflict posed a security risk. But in fact other factors played a bigger role.
Kenya faces a serious threat of terrorist attacks given its strategic geopolitical position, its tourism and corruption. The country needs to squarely face this and take appropriate measures.
It’s unclear exactly when Kenya’s next president will begin the process of withdrawing troops from Somalia. If it’s too rushed, the move might destabilise the region.
Al Shabaab is facing stress under increased pressure from the government and the regional states. But it should also be noted that predictions of its collapse have come and gone before