An expert on the history of polling has a first take on how pollsters did this year.
Academic rigour, journalistic flair
Articles on Joe Biden
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All you need to know about the current state of the count for the US 2020 elections in one place, updated regularly as data becomes available.
The polls and pundits say Joe Biden will win, but they’ve been wrong before. So what will be the early indicators of whether Donald Trump stays or goes?
The majority voting system in the United States, as in virtually every country in the world, imperfectly reflects voter preferences and could once again benefit Donald Trump.
Because of the contentiousness of mail-in voting, it would not be surprising if there are more lawsuits after the election. We might not know for days who is the winner.
If there’s not a clear winner of the November 3 election and the current president refuses to leave office, here are six scenarios that could play out.
Disenfranchisement and disinformation have been rife in the 2020 election - and may continue to play significant roles in its aftermath.
Punters are more cautious than the polls, suggesting this election might be closer than the media is reporting.
Joe Biden and Mike Pence both wrote op-eds in a Christian paper. How their use of Christianity, history and politics differ.
As you would expect the two US election campaigns differ greatly in their approach to songs.
As Joe Biden and Donald Trump spend the final day of the US 2020 election campaign in key battlegrounds – why a handful of states will be so crucial to the result.
Most polls are pointing to a Biden win, but it will be the “swing states” where the vote is close that will hold the key to who takes the White House.
For Joe Biden to make good on his promise to heal the nation’s divisions, he will need to address the social disconnection that underlies ‘racialised economics’.
Many people are concerned about far-right extremism. But they may not understand the real threat.
Wriggling out of paying taxes may be legal, but is it right? Aristotle, Immanuel Kant – and others – have their say.
Despite Trump’s moral failings, his support among white religious voters has only slipped marginally. One reason is his anti-immigration stance, which is becoming more important to evangelical voters.
Democracy only works well when citizens participate in the democratic process and participate equally. But in the United States, lack of trust is eroding democracy’s promise.
Polling is an imperfect attempt at providing insight and explanation. But the public’s desire for insight and explanation about elections never ends, so polls endure despite their flaws and failures.
Trump has a very narrow path to victory that will require high turnout by so-called “working-class whites” in key states. This group, however, is not so easily defined.
A Trump election loss would suit NZ’s trade, climate and arms control foreign policies. But there will still be the problem of China.
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Top contributors
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Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne
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Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra
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Director of Research, US Studies Centre, University of Sydney
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Tony Walker is a Friend of The Conversation.
Vice-Chancellor's Fellow, La Trobe University
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Assistant lecturer, CY Cergy Paris Université
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Professor of International Relations and Security, University of Bradford
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Associate Professor and Director of the Centre on US Politics, UCL
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Honorary Professor of International Relations, University of the Witwatersrand
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Professor, School of Public Policy and Administration, York University, Canada
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Adjunct Senior Fellow, School of Global, Urban and Social Studies, RMIT University
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Assistant Professor, Westminster College
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Teaching Fellow in International Security, University of Portsmouth
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Professor Emeritus of Communication, American University School of Communication
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Professor of International Security, University of Birmingham
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Associate Professor in American Politics and Foreign Policy, US Studies Centre, University of Sydney
