Labor needs substantially more than 50% of the two-party preferred vote – 51.8% according to the pendulum – to win the majority of seats, 76. This equates to a swing of 3.3 percentage points.
AAP Image/Pool, Alex Ellinghausen, The Conversation
Climate change is the most pressing issue of our time – so what have the Coalition and the Labor party actually promised? Five experts grade different aspects of their climate policies.
The Coalition’s climate policy is consistent with a very dangerous 3℃ of global warming. But one party is comfortably consistent with keeping warming at safe levels.
Our experts rated the Coalition’s model as either very unsatisfactory or a fail. Most agreed Labor’s proposed model is much better, but said a lot more detail is needed.
The end of the controversial indexation freeze and retention of the news gathering program do not make up for the massive cuts already inflicted on the national broadcasters.
Charities fear the new law will act like a spending cap, forcing them to step back from campaigning to avoid triggering additional reporting obligations.
The Coalition has made promises on whistleblower protection and must soon reveal its plan for a federal integrity commission. Now is the time for both parties to prove they can take real action.
The Liberals and the Nationals need each other to stay in government. But climate policy gives us an insight into just how precarious – yet effective – that coalition can be.