Will he or won’t he hit the bullseye? Using Bayes’ Theorem, your prediction will be based on how the current match is going - and how he’s played in the past.
The decisions we make in life often come down to Bayes' Theorem, but most of us don't even realise what it is. So how does it work?
Basing purchasing decisions solely on online product reviews may be unwise.
Online ratings and reviews may seem like a good way to see what other consumers think of a product but they can be to simplistic and misleading, research shows.
When a player’s on fire, is it hot hands?
Basketball image via www.shutterstock.com.
For 30 years, sports fans have been told to forget about streaks because the 'hot hand' is a fallacy. But a reanalysis says not so fast: Statistics show players really are in the zone sometimes.
Should she trust her gut or her head?
Job interview via www.shutterstock.com
Should you go with your gut when hiring an employee or making another decision on the job? The research suggests that in most cases, probably not.
It’s important to get the research across to and understood by decision-makers.
Research comes with risk and uncertainty so getting the right message across to the people who matter can be a challenge for scientists. A new plan out today hopes to change that.
Women and their care givers need to be aware of the long-term risks of an early planned delivery.
Planning to give birth just a little early carries long-term risks for babies, as researchers are discovering. This is why we should be concerned.
Politicians want to regulate the software that decides if we get a loan or a job, but existing laws can already protect us – if we know how to use them.
MRI of grey matter with intracranial electrodes resting on the medial frontal cortex.
Our brains may be slower at making decisions than computers, but there is a massive evolutionary benefit to this tardiness.
They gamble less with their hearts than their heads.
Mindfulness could help you to make hard choices.
Here's how meditation can help make some of those big life decisions a little more easy to handle.
Who’s making the decisions around here?
White House (Pete Souza)
Different animals and different behaviors rely on various forms and combinations of 'government' to carry out desired actions.
The saying goes, with age comes wisdom, but is that really true?
It takes more than protest: demonstrators at a 2012 climate change conference in Doha, Qatar.
How can diverse societies agree on strategies for tackling complex problems? Lawrence Susskind and Ella Kim of MIT explain how role-playing games can help people learn to collaborate.
Some argue that morality is everywhere, or maybe nowhere, in our brain.
There's no single region in the brain responsible for all moral decision making. But neuroscience research has shown specific brain regions are involved when we're faced with moral dilemmas.
decisions by Suphaksorn Thongwongboot/shutterstock.com
We think that more information means better decisions, but really it means we struggle to make decisions at all.
Well if you’d just ASK someone Bernard…
Courtesy of Rob Nelson
When it comes to choosing locations, the leaders of baboon packs take a step back.
Everybody’s leaving New Orleans ahead of Katrina.
Rick Wilking / Reuters
Hurricanes can be deadly to those in their path. Officials don't want to unnecessarily alarm before solid forecasts are in place, but residents need enough time to prepare and heed evacuation orders.
Social security is on a collision course with insolvency. A little bit of math could keep it safe.
The US Social Security system has been heading toward insolvency for decades, with the program now projected to run a 25% deficit by a little after 2030, according to the Congressional Budget Office. Despite…
Sports officials make judgements in the moment, but are judged in hindsight. How do they meet that challenge?
This is the third article in a series, How we make decisions, which explores our decision-making processes. How well do we consider all factors involved in a decision, and what helps and what holds us…
You might never know that you’re hard of thinking.
This is the second article in a series, How we make decisions, which explores our decision-making processes. How well do we consider all factors involved in a decision, and what helps and what holds us…